Ford Motor Company Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet
Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for net income of 36 cents per share, a decline of 41.9% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from 42 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down. It also has dropped from 39 cents during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 0.7% compared to last year’s $1.52.
Past Earnings Performance: The company missed estimates last quarter after beating forecasts in the prior two. In the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, the company reported profit of 20 cents per share versus a mean estimate of net income of 27 cents per share. In the third quarter of the last fiscal year, the company beat estimates by 2 cents.
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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a rise of 1.7% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $31.53 billion.
Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock, with 10 analysts rating it as a buy, none rating it as a sell and three rating it as a hold.
A Look Back: In the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, profit rose 7065.8% to $13.62 billion ($3.32 a share) from $190 million (5 cents a share) the year earlier, but fell short analyst expectations. Revenue rose 6.6% to $34.58 billion from $32.43 billion.
On the top line, the company is looking to build on four-straight revenue increases heading into this earnings announcement. Revenue rose 4.9% in the first quarter of the last fiscal year, 1.3% in the second quarter of the last fiscal year and 10.6% in the third quarter of the last fiscal year before increasing again in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year of the last fiscal year.
Last quarter’s earnings rise was a switch from preceding drops, so the upcoming earnings announcement is a chance to build on last quarter’s result. After net income declines in the second quarter of the last fiscal year of the last fiscal year and third quarter of the last fiscal year of the last fiscal year, profit rose in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year.
Stock Price Performance: Between January 26, 2012 and April 23, 2012, the stock price fell $1.39 (-10.9%), from $12.74 to $11.35. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between December 28, 2011 and January 9, 2012, when shares rose for eight straight days, increasing 12.1% (+$1.27) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between April 26, 2011 and May 5, 2011 when shares fell for eight straight days, dropping 3.7% (-58 cents) over that span.
(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)
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