Will Google’s (NASDAQ:GOOG) Android eventually become the default platform that startups develop for? Not likely, tech industry commentator Steve Cheney said in a recent blog posting. According to his CrunchBase profile, Cheney is currently head of business development at GroupMe and has years of experience in the hardware and software industries.
Android’s majority share of the worldwide mobile operating system market has led some analysts to predict that Google’s platform will soon become the primary one for app developers. However, Cheney argues that there are many other factors besides Android’s “vanity metrics” that make it very unlikely that the OS will be able to unseat Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) as the initial platform of choice for mobile startups.
First, Cheney noted that Apple’s iOS has maintained a significant share of the U.S. market despite Android’s worldwide growth. Since the majority of mobile startups originate in the U.S., app developers tend to gravitate toward Apple. According to comScore’s latest data, Apple’s iOS held a 40.7 percent share of the U.S. smartphone market in August, while Google’s Android had a 51.6 percent share. (However, it should be noted that this data predate Apple’s recent iPhone launch.)
Second, Cheney pointed out that developing for Android is two to three times more expensive than developing for iOS for a number of reasons. Many of the reasons are related to the fragmentation of Android’s operating system.