When Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) posts its first quarterly earnings report of the 2013 fiscal year on Wednesday afternoon, investors’ attention may be fixed on one key figure: the company’s outlook.
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Apple analysts and stock watchers have grown increasingly pessimistic about the company’s near- and long-term future, starting with the current fiscal year. Now Apple has always been known to be notoriously conservative with its guidance, but if it lowers its outlook for the fiscal year any further this time around, it could trigger panic among its already-concerned investors.
“It’s all about the guide,” Gene Munster of Piper Jaffray told MarketWatch. “If they have a big miss for December but a phenomenal guide, the stock will go up. But if they crush December but give a bad forecast, the stock is going to go down.”
There has been a lot of news lately of an apparently rapid slowdown in iPhone 5 demand as well as concerns about whether the company can maintain its high margins as it enters new areas of comparatively lower-profit products, such as the iPad mini. Analysts are currently predicting earnings of $11.77 per share for the current quarter — a decline of about 4 percent from the same period last year.