The next presidential election is more than two years away and candidates have yet to declare, but already the main contenders are beginning to emerge as are voters’ preferences. From early polling results, it seems 2016 could be Hillary Clinton’s year. According to the results of a recent Washington Post-ABC News poll, registered voters prefer Clinton over other leading potential Democratic candidates by a massive margin. The former Secretary of State won 72 percent of votes while current Vice President Joe Biden took in just 12 percent and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren took 8 percent. According to the Post, her lead is the largest early lead recorded in at least 30 years of polling, a statistic that suggest the party nomination is hers to lose.
That six to one lead points to the wide base of Democrat support Hillary Clinton has among voters of different ideological backgrounds and of differing genders, ethnicities, and classes. But equally significant is the fact that if the “2016 presidential election were being held today” with Clinton as the Democrat candidate and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie as the Republican candidate, 53 percent of voters would choose Clinton. But her lead in that match could be impacted by the fact that Christie political stature has taken a hit from the bridge-traffic scandal.
Of course, Clinton may still choose not to run for president. No formal announcement has been made and no documents have been filed with the Federal Election Commission. According to Time Magazine’s David Von Drehle, “people close to Clinton and familiar with her thinking insist that she hasn’t made a decision,” and in his opinion, that is because making that decision would only slow her down. “We can believe that she hasn’t ‘decided’ to ‘run’ because there is almost nothing that a decision would change for her,” he wrote. “It would be like Jennifer Aniston deciding to get her picture in a supermarket tabloid or Warren Buffett deciding to be quotable. All outward behaviors remain the same.”