10 Insane Things That Trump Might Say to Kim Jong Un
In an unprecedented move made by any sitting U.S. president, Donald Trump has agreed to meet with the North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un. This comes at a very fragile time diplomatically for the U.S. and North Korea. The question on most peoples minds is what will be said during their meeting. If history has taught us anything, there are some key aspects that will be discussed in their meeting.
Here’s what we think Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump will discuss at their meeting.
Sanctions are probably the most critical part of the negotiation process and are probably going to be one of the first things discussed. North Korea has been strangled by sanctions enacted by the U.S. and its allies. A lot of deal-making is going to rely on what sanctions are lifted and what sanctions are kept in place.
Next: The mega-tonne elephant in the room.
2. Nuclear proliferation
The greatest concerns for global security lie around North Korea having and maintaining a nuclear arsenal. North Korea justifies having the arsenal for fear of attacks from the United States. The United States doesn’t want them to have them for fear that third parties could get their hands on them and use them against us.
Trump will demand that their nuclear program end completely and North Korea will likely get up from the negotiation table. If they were to stay and agree to something, it would likely only be a freeze on nuclear testing. Who knows how long that will last.
Next: This has been offered in agreements in the past, but we never seem to follow through.
3. Light water reactor plants
One of the things that North Korea has always wanted was a steady supply of energy. Their original nuclear program was predicated on a peaceful mission of providing energy to its citizens. Through a lack of international cooperation and technology sharing, the program slowly devolved into a defense project for the sole purpose of saber rattling.
North Korea will need certain technologies to finish their light water nuclear power infrastructure. Something that the U.S. was originally supposed to provide in the Agreed Framework of 1995. The hermit kingdom is notorious for being constantly in the dark.
Next: Those sanctions we talked about are taking its toll.
A defector who tried to cross the DMZ had his intestine examined when he reached South Korea. Upon inspection, doctors discovered that he had parasitic worms and raw corn in his system. Soldiers are ahead of regular citizens when it comes to rations. That, coupled with contaminated crops from nuclear testing paint a very dire picture for the North Korean citizens.
It is likely that part of any deal reached by the U.S. and the DPRK will result in some sort of food supply from the west. Judging from what’s been going on, it is likely that they are starving pretty badly in the north.
Next: When there are food problems, disease is sure to follow.
North Korea has asked for medical aid multiple time in the past. A lot of the time that coincides with some sort of famine or disaster that is occurring. Giving the evidence that we do have, it is plausible that there is a myriad of health issues concerning North Korean citizens. For example, the parasitic worms in the soldier’s belly and the irradiated crops from the nuclear tests that we mentioned earlier.
The other issue that is likely hurting North Korea is cancer or radiation poisoning. When you detonate that many nuclear weapons, radiation can seep into everything. From there, it’s only a matter of time before cancer clusters start to pop up in the population. North Korea will likely negotiate for medicine in anticipation of that, or they are already beginning to see signs of it.
Next: This is something that North Korea has wanted from the very beginning.
6. Korean reunification
Korean reunification has been something that both countries wanted unilaterally. Kim Jong Un desperately wants the U.S. out of South Korea and wants to control that territory. Conversely, South Korea and the United States want to unite under the Republic of Korea to control that northern land. This is an area that will likely be discussed, but neither will ever yield. So don’t expect just one Korea existing after these talks.
Next: American operations are also a thorn in the DPRK’s side.
7. Joint exercises reduction
If any de-escalation in nuclear proliferation is to be achieved by the United States, the joint military exercises that the ROK and the U.S. engage in will have to be put on the chopping block. The exercises are of grave concern to the North Koreans because of their potential to go hot.
The United States and South Korea depend on these exercises to be better prepared than the North Koreans in case of northern aggression. The question is whether or not North Korea would take advantage of the discontinued exercises and throw it in Trump’s face when they do.
Next: Defectors and prisoners are dangerous pawns that are sure to be played.
8. Hostage trade
In any negotiation between sworn enemies, there is likely going to be a discussion of hostage trades. Sometimes it’s spies and prisoners, but sometimes, defectors are asked for. North Korea, in particular, wants 21 defectors returned to them from South Korea. The problem is if we give them that, those defectors will likely be executed. We would just be sending people to their deaths.
Next: Never come to the negotiation table without a cash incentive.
9. Financial Incentives
The Kim regime is extremely expensive to finance. Their lavish style at the expense of their people is well known. But anytime you have a negotiation with a despot, you’d better bring a cash incentive. Trump will undoubtedly offer some sort of cash incentive for one of the lesser items on the docket.
Next: Even if a deal is made, history has shown us that they never work out.
10. What could go wrong?
Trump can say whatever he wants to Kim Jong Un, and Kim Jong Un can say whatever he wants to Trump. They could even reach some sort of tentative agreement as the two nations have done before. The problem is that neither one of them is reliable.
Trump is notorious for breaking contracts and not paying people their negotiated fees. Why would it be any different when it comes to a potential deal with North Korea? The Kim family has also been historically unreliable in following through with any agreements made in the past.
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