Meghan Markle’s Due Date Doesn’t Matter, But This 1 Thing Proves Baby Sussex Will Arrive Any Minute

Ever since Prince Harry and Meghan Markle announced that they were expecting a baby, people have become absolutely obsessed with uncovering their due date. Everyone from rabid royal fans to casual observers started speculating over that elusive date, trying to guess the exact moment when Baby Sussex would make his or her big debut.

Gradually, more details about the birth were revealed through offhand comments and simple math. News outlets narrowed the baby’s day of arrival to late April or early May. But then the Duke and Duchess of Sussex threw everyone a curveball when they admitted that they’d be keeping the birth quiet at first and announcing it only after they’d had time to bond as a family of three.

Prince Harry and Meghan Markle
Prince Harry and Meghan Markle | Samir Hussein/Samir Hussein/WireImage

Everyone’s obsession with Meghan Markle’s due date is way off base. According to HuffPo, only about 5% of women give birth on their actual due date. Instead of trying to figure out when the Duchess of Sussex is giving birth based on that prediction, it’s much wiser to determine the timing based on other details.

The royal family schedule is the best birth predictor

Meghan Markle’s last public appearance was on March 19 when she accompanied Prince Harry to sign a book of condolences at New Zealand House. Meghan may have avoided royal engagements since then, but Prince Harry has been seen out and about as recently as Sunday, April 28 when he stopped by the London Marathon. These appearances make most people assume the baby isn’t born yet.

Prince Harry
Prince Harry | Naomi Baker/Getty Images

But then the news broke that Prince Harry made plans to visit the Netherlands on Wednesday, May 8 and Thursday, May 9. Since there’s absolutely no chance he’d miss the birth of his first child, logical minds assume this means the baby will be born before then.

Is Meghan Markle being induced?

Since due dates are just predictions, there’s no reason to expect that Meghan Markle knows she’ll give birth on that exact day. However, it can be dangerous to stay pregnant later than 42 weeks at the absolute longest. So even if Meghan Markle was due two weeks ago, her doctor would likely have scheduled an induction for this week in case her body didn’t go into labor naturally.

Knowing that Meghan Markle preferred a more natural, drug-free birth, it’s also probable that the Duchess of Sussex would want to avoid induction if she could. But sometimes this very common procedure is necessary to kickstart labor and keep the baby and mother safe.

Meghan Markle
Meghan Markle | Karwai Tang/WireImage)

Baby Sussex might already be born

The only other explanation for Prince Harry scheduling events for next week is that the baby is already here. If that’s true, then the Sussex family is just waiting for the ideal moment to make their big announcement and they’re not in any hurry—remember, this is all on their own schedule.

Royal fans noticed Meghan Markle’s mom’s dog being walked by an employee, which they’re thinking proves that Doria Ragland has arrived and settled in to Frogmore Cottage. Plus, several family members including Queen Elizabeth and the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge have been spotted visiting Prince Harry and Meghan Markle’s new home. Most assume they’re checking in on Meghan Markle before she gives birth. But it’s also possible they’re snuggling the new baby.

In a few days, we’ll hopefully know the answer!