Looking back at 2017, quite a few films that everyone was looking forward to ended up being colossal disappointments both on a critical and a financial level, including The Mummy and The Dark Tower. In 2018, we shouldn’t expect any different.
Sure, 2018 will see the release of some guaranteed hits, like Avengers: Infinity War. But even a few of the films you’re most excited about appear to be headed toward disaster. Here’s a look at the 2018 movies that are on pace to disappoint audiences and/or lose a lot of money. For the purposes of this list, we’ll be focusing primarily on the big blockbusters.
Solo: A Star Wars Story
To be clear, we’re actually really excited for Solo, which looks like an enjoyable addition to the Star Wars saga. But there are reasons to believe it will perform below what Disney is hoping for.
First of all, The Last Jedi was undeniably divisive. This resulted in fairly poor holds between weekends; the movie saw a 67% drop in its second weekend compared to The Force Awakens‘ 39% drop. The Last Jedi ended up grossing almost $700 million less than The Force Awakens. The eighth episode was always going to make less than the seventh since it wasn’t as much of an event, but no one expected it to make that much less.
The release date is also a concern. All three Disney Star Wars films thus far have been released around Christmas, a perfect time for them to build up momentum over several weeks as kids are home from school and there’s little competition. But Solo comes out two weeks after Avengers: Infinity War, and one week after Deadpool 2. The fact that people will still be flocking to those movies over Memorial Day will seriously reduce Solo‘s chance at a massive opening weekend like the kind the past three Star Wars movies have had.
And finally, there’s the fact that there are fears about the movie not being good, considering it was plagued by reshoots and the directors were dramatically fired. Granted, it’s hard to imagine that Solo will be a complete catastrophe just because it’s still a Star Wars movie. But even in a best-case scenario, Solo will definitely be the lowest grossing Star Wars film Disney has released.
Next: This reboot of an established franchise is unlikely to make a splash.