Oscars 2017: 7 Contenders That Experts Are Betting Will Win

The Oscars are right around the corner and predictions for who will win have been rolling in. If you’re getting ready to fill out your own ballot, you’re in luck. We already have an idea of which contenders are the odds-on favorites to win, thanks to Gold Derby. The awards site has calculated what movies and which actors have the best odds of taking home a gold statue. They’ve come up with their predictions by combining feedback from their panel of experts, editors, and users.

Below, check out what films the experts are betting will win at the Oscars 2017.

1. Best Picture

La La Land

La La Land | Summit Entertainment

La La Land, 1/5
Moonlight, 14/1
Manchester by the Sea, 40/1
Hidden Figures, 50/1
Arrival, 66/1
Hacksaw Ridge, 80/1
Lion, 80/1
Fences, 100/1
Hell or High Water, 100/1

Unsurprisingly, La La Land — the critical darling starring Emma Stone and Ryan Gosling — is the odds-on favorite to take home the Oscar in the Best Picture category. Moonlight follows the romance musical with the second-best odds to win.

2. Best Director

Director Damien Chazelle of 'La La Land' | Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images

Director Damien Chazelle | Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images

Damien Chazelle (La La Land), 2/11
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight), 9/1
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea), 50/1
Denis Villeneuve (Arrival), 66/1
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw Ridge), 80/1

Chazelle, the director of La La Land, is widely expected to continue his award season winning streak, as highlighted above. Meanwhile, Gold Derby predicts that Moonlight helmer, Jenkins, has the second-best chance of winning with 9/1 odds.

 3. Best Actress

Emma Stone

Emma Stone | Justin Tallis/AFP/Getty Images

Emma Stone (La La Land)
Natalie Portman (Jackie)
Isabelle Huppert (Elle)
Meryl Streep (Florence Foster Jenkins)
Ruth Negga (Loving)

Stone has been earning accolades left and right for her starring performance in La La Land, and the trend is only expected to continue. The actress has the odds in her favor to bring home the Academy Award for Best Actress.

4. Best Actor

Denzel Washington

Denzel Washington | Kevin Winter/Getty Images

Denzel Washington (Fences), 10/11
Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea), 3/2
Ryan Gosling (La La Land), 22/1
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge), 66/1
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic), 100/1

Though Affleck was considered the frontrunner in the Best Actor category early on, Washington has since gained major momentum in his Oscar campaign. The Fences star now has the best odds of winning the golden statue.

5. Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis

Viola Davis | Frederick M. Brown/Getty Images

Viola Davis (Fences), 1/10
Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea), 33/1
Naomie Harris (Moonlight), 33/1
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures), 66/1
Nicole Kidman (Lion), 80/1

As Gold Derby predicts, Davis has the best odds of winning the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress. Meanwhile, Michelle Williams and Naomie Harris are tied with the second-best odds of 33/1.

6. Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali

Mahershala Ali | Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images

Mahershala Ali (Moonlight), 2/11
Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals), 22/1
Dev Patel (Lion), 25/1
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water), 25/1
Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea), 50/1

Ali has already racked up several awards and plenty of critical acclaim for his supporting role in Moonlight. Given his successful year, it’s no surprise that the actor is expected to also take home the Oscar in the Best Supporting Actor category.

7. Best Adapted Screenplay


Moonlight | A24

Moonlight, 2/11
Hidden Figures, 16/1
Arrival, 20/1
Fences, 33/1
Lion, 66/1

In addition to likely scoring a Best Supporting Actor win for Ali, Gold Derby predicts that Moonlight will also take home the prize for Best Adapted Screenplay. The film, adapted by Jenkins, is based on the play In Moonlight Black Boys Look Blue.

8. Best Original Screenplay

La La Land - Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone

La La Land | Summit Entertainment

La La Land, 21/20
Manchester by the Sea, 10/9
Hell or High Water, 50/1
The Lobster, 60/1
20th Century Women, 80/1

Are you sensing a theme here? That’s right — La La Land is once again the projected winner in the Best Original Screenplay category. Manchester by the Sea is not all too far behind, with 10/9 odds.

9. Best Cinematography

La La Land - Ryan Gosling and Emma Stone

La La Land | Summit Entertainment

La La Land, 1/5
Arrival, 11/1
Moonlight, 22/1
Silence, 50/1
Lion, 66/1

If these odds are any indication, La La Land will sweep in the majority of the categories it’s nominated in — including Best Cinematography. The movie has 1/5 odds of taking home the prize.

10. Best Costume Design

La La Land, Oscars 2017

La La Land | Summit Entertainment

La La Land, 8/13
Jackie, 12/5
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, 25/1
Florence Foster Jenkins, 28/1
Allied, 80/1

Another area in which La La Land is projected to take the win: Best Costume Design. The film has the best odds of coming out on top in this category, with the second-best odds going to Jackie.

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