Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) component Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, February 15, 2012. Abercrombie & Fitch is an American specialty retailer company that, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, operates stores and direct sales of casual apparel for men, women, and children.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average analyst estimate is for net income of $1.12 per share, a decline of 18.8% from the company’s actual earnings for the year-ago quarter. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from $1.75. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down. It also has dropped from $1.58 during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 15.1% compared to last year’s $2.36.

Past Earnings Performance: The company missed estimates last quarter after beating forecasts in the prior two. In the third quarter, the company reported profit of 57 cents per share versus a mean estimate of net income of 73 cents per share. In the second quarter, the company beat estimates by 6 cents.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a rise of 16.5% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $1.34 billion.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts seem relatively indifferent about Abercrombie & Fitch with 17 of 32 analysts surveyed maintaining a hold rating.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit rose 1.7% to $50.9 million (57 cents a share) from $50 million (56 cents a share) the year earlier, but fell short analyst expectations. Revenue rose 21.5% to $1.08 billion from $885.8 million.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 23.3%, with the biggest boost coming in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year when revenue rose 27.3% from the year earlier quarter.

Stock Price Performance: Between November 11, 2011 and February 9, 2012, the stock price fell $11.10 (-19.6%), from $56.58 to $45.48. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between September 8, 2011 and September 19, 2011, when shares rose for eight straight days, increasing 9% (+$5.66) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between May 27, 2011 and June 8, 2011 when shares fell for eight straight days, dropping 13.2% (-$10) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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