Aeropostale, Inc. Second Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Aeropostale, Inc. (NYSE:ARO) will unveil its latest earnings on Thursday, August 18, 2011. Aropostale, Inc. operates as a mall-based retailer of casual apparel and accessories for young women and men in the United States.

Aeropostale, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for net loss of 3 cents per share, a swing from net income of 46 cents in the year earlier quarter. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from 29 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down and dropped from 14 cents during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting profit of $1.06 per share, a decline of 58.3% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: The company met estimates last quarter after beating the forecasts in the prior two. In the first quarter, the company reported net income of 20 cents per share versus a mean estimate of profit of 20 cents per share. In the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, the company beat estimates by 2 cents.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: On average, analysts predict $490.9 million in revenue this quarter, a decline of 0.8% from the year ago quarter. Analysts are forecasting total revenue of $2.37 billion for the year, a decline of 1.3% from last year’s revenue of $2.4 billion.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts seem relatively indifferent about Aeropostale with 16 of 25 analysts surveyed maintaining a hold rating.

Key Stats:

Revenue has risen the past four quarters. Revenue increased 1.2% to $469.2 million in first quarter. The figure rose 4.8% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year from the year earlier, climbed 6.1% in the third quarter of the last fiscal year from the year-ago quarter and 9.2% in the second quarter of the last fiscal year.

The company has now seen net income fall in each of the last three quarters. In first quarter, net income fell 63.9% from the year earlier, while the figure fell 13.2% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year and 6.5% in the third quarter of the last fiscal year.

Competitors to Watch: Pacific Sunwear of California, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSUN), Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ), Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF), American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO), Express, Inc. (NYSE:EXPR), The Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS), The Buckle, Inc. (NYSE:BKE), Body Central Acquisition Corp. (NASDAQ:BODY), The Wet Seal, Inc. (NASDAQ:WTSLA), and Casual Male Retail Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMRG).

Stock Price Performance: During May 18, 2011 to August 12, 2011, the stock price had fallen $9.56 (-44.6%) from $21.45 to $11.89. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between February 2, 2011 and February 14, 2011 when shares rose for nine-straight days, rising 8.9% (+$2.12) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between October 26, 2010 and November 3, 2010 when shares fell for seven-straight days, falling 10.4% (-$2.77) over that span. Shares are down $12.75 (-51.7%) year to date.

(Source: Xignite Financials)

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