Aeropostale, Inc. Third Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Aeropostale, Inc. (NYSE:ARO) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, November 30, 2011. Aeropostale is a mall-based retailer that sells casual apparel and accessories for young adults.

Aeropostale, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 27 cents per share, a decline of 59.7% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from 12 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate was unchanged. It has risen during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting net income of 87 cents per share, a decline of 65.7% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: Last quarter, the company topped estimates by 0 cents, coming in at a loss of 2 cents per share against a mean estimate of net loss of 3 cents. The company fell in line with estimates in the first quarter.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a decline of 4.4% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $576.4 million.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts seem relatively indifferent about Aeropostale with 15 of 24 analysts surveyed maintaining a hold rating.

A Look Back: In the second quarter, profit fell 93.3% to $2.9 million (4 cents a share) from $43.6 million (46 cents a share) the year earlier, but exceeded analyst expectations. Revenue fell 5.4% to $468.2 million from $494.7 million.

Key Stats:

A year-over-year revenue decrease in the second quarter snapped a streak of three consecutive quarters of revenue increases. Revenue rose 1.2%in the first quarter, 4.8% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year and 6.1% in the third quarter of the last fiscal year.

Competitors to Watch: Pacific Sunwear of California, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSUN), Zumiez Inc. (NASDAQ:ZUMZ), Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF), American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO), Express, Inc. (NYSE:EXPR), The Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS), The Buckle, Inc. (NYSE:BKE), Body Central Acquisition Corp. (NASDAQ:BODY), The Wet Seal, Inc. (NASDAQ:WTSLA), and Casual Male Retail Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CMRG).

Stock Price Performance: During September 28, 2011 to November 23, 2011, the stock price had risen $3.99 (36.2%) from $11.02 to $15.01. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between February 2, 2011 and February 14, 2011 when shares rose for nine-straight days, rising 8.9% (+$2.12) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between November 16, 2011 and November 23, 2011 when shares fell for six-straight days, falling 10.9% (-$1.84) over that span. Shares are down $9.63 (-39.1%) year to date.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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