After Leaving the White House, Will Paul Ryan Run for President?

Love him or hate him, Paul Davis Ryan accomplished a lot as House Speaker since he was elected to the position in 2015. But he will not be seeking reelection in 2018, which is making the Republican Party mighty nervous. There is much speculation about what Ryan will do upon leaving the House of Representatives — keep reading to find out what’s in his future, including what he has to say on page 6, and form your own opinion.

1. Ryan’s announcement

Paul Ryan announces he is not seeking reelection

The announcement shocked Washington. | Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

On Wednesday, April 11, 2018, House Speaker Paul Ryan announced he will not seek reelection, which sent shock waves through Washington. He said he isn’t seeking reelection because he wants to spend more time with his children, according to Yahoo Finance. When he made the announcement, Ryan said he was proud of the Republican Party’s accomplishments, including making tax cuts as promised.

Next: Ryan — a lame duck

2. Ryan will experience an unusually long lame-duck period

House Speaker Paul Ryans peaks to the media about issues before the House

From three weeks to nine months. | Mark Wilson/Getty Images

The 115th United States Congress will conclude on Jan. 3, 2019. That means Ryan, who will remain speaker for the rest of 2018, will go through an inordinate lame-duck period for a retiring speaker.

And according to Nolan McCarty, chair of the department of politics and a professor at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, in recent memory, the longest time a speaker remained after announcing his resignation is three weeks, which happened when John Boehner’s stepped down.

Next: Ryan under pressure?

3. Is Ryan being pushed to resign?

Paul Ryan, House GOP Leaders Discuss Improving US National Security

He likely won’t accomplish much in his time left. | Allison Shelley/Getty Images

According to McCarty, when speakers step down they are typically replaced very quickly, at least in modern times. “The others who resigned were replaced very quickly. You really have to go back to the 1920s, when there was a period in which a speaker was a lame duck for any period of time,” said McCarty. “Before we changed the Constitution, there would be these long lame-duck sessions of Congress between the November elections and the March inaugurations.”

And McCarty thinks that Ryan might be pressured to resign to allow for a quicker replacement. He did, however, mention that it took three weeks to get Ryan in when Boehner stepped down because of Republican Party’s many factions fighting.” I suspect that might still be true, so they might have a difficult time trying to figure out who will replace Ryan. In the meantime, I think he will just hold the office and not accomplish very much,” said McCarty.

Next: Will Ryan distance himself from Donald Trump?

4. What will Ryan do until he exits?

It’s a very unusual position. | Adam Glanzman/Getty Images

According to Yahoo Finance, Sarah Binder, professor of political science at George Washington University, agreed that Ryan’s exit is unusual for modern politics, which doesn’t give much of an indication of what to expect.

Binder did speculate that one path Ryan might take is to continue to fight for Republican control of the House, which would involve raising money and talking his fellow Republicans out of retiring. And Binder added that Ryan could also distance himself from Donald Trump — significantly.

Next: No regrets

5. Ryan is proud of his accomplishments

U.S. House Speaker Paul Ryan speaks during an enrollment ceremony for the conference report

He has no regrets. | Mark Wilson/Getty Images

Ryan’s decision raised new doubts about the Republican Party being able to fend off a Democratic wave — fueled by opposition to Donald Trump — in November. But Ryan has no regrets about not seeking reelection.

He said he has accomplished “a heckuva lot” during his time in a position that he really never wanted to fill. “I have given this job everything I have,” said Ryan, according to Yahoo Finance.

Next: Here’s what Ryan said.

6. Ryan denies plans to run for president

Paul Ryan denies the claims. | Alex Wong/Getty Images

According to Business Insider, Paul Ryan has no plans on running for president in 2020. When he announced he was retiring, he told CNN’s Jake Tapper that he would not consider running for president in the future — or any other elected office. “I really thought that when I took this job Jake, that this is probably the last elected office I’d have,” said Ryan. “I’m not going to run for president, that’s not my plan, I’m not going to do that.”

Next: Family guy

7. Ryan plans to spend a lot of time at home

Paul Ryan with his wife and kids

He’s looking forward to spending time with his family. | Stan Honda/AFP/GettyImages

According to Business Insider, Ryan will focus on spending time with his family after he retires but will still “advocate for causes.” People have speculated that Ryan might run for a higher office once his children leave home, but he’s quick to deny that.

“Right now the last thing I’m thinking about is running for something,” Ryan said. There is one thing, however, he might consider. “I wouldn’t mind being Ambassador to Ireland when I’m in my 60s,” said Ryan.

Next: Republicans are apprehensive

8. Who will replace Ryan?

Donald Trump and Paul Ryan finally pushed their their tax reform.

He was a symbol of stability. | Zach Gibson/Getty Images

Although Ryan has a difficult relationship with Donald Trump, he was crucial in getting the tax cuts passed. Now, many Republicans are nervous. It’s unclear who will lead the House and counterbalance Trump like Ryan did.

Ryan has been “a steady force in contrast to the president’s more mercurial tone,” said Rep. Mark Sanford of South Carolina. “That’s needed.” In addition, the House hardliners trusted Ryan. “That’s probably his greatest gift to us,” said Rep. Kevin Cramer of North Dakota. “His ability to bridge the vast divide.”

Read more: This Innocent Photo of Paul Ryan Reveals Why the Trump Tax Plan Is Doomed

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