Arch Coal Inc. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ACI) will unveil its latest earnings on Friday, February 10, 2012. Arch Coal is a coal producer in the United States, that sells coal to power plants, steel mills, and industrial facilities.

Arch Coal, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 31 cents per share, a decline of 6.1% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from 33 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down. It also has dropped from 32 cents during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 1.8% versus last year to $1.16.

Past Earnings Performance: Last quarter, the company missed estimates by 7 cents, coming in at net income of 8 cents per share against an estimate of profit of. In the second quarter, the company also missed expectations.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: On average, analysts predict $1.3 billion in revenue this quarter, a rise of 55.6% from the year ago quarter. Analysts are forecasting total revenue of $4.35 billion for the year, a rise of 36.4% from last year’s revenue of $3.19 billion.

Analyst Ratings: 11 out of 20 analysts surveyed (55%) have a buy rating on Arch Coal.. This is below the mean analyst rating of 10 competitors, which average 62.4% buy ratings.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit fell 59.2% to $19.1 million (9 cents a share) from $46.7 million (29 cents a share) the year earlier, missing analyst expectations. Revenue rose 37% to $1.2 billion from $874.7 million.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 25.9%, with the biggest boost coming in the most recent quarter when revenue rose 37% from the year earlier quarter.

Stock Price Performance: During November 8, 2011 to February 6, 2012, the stock price had fallen $2.39 (-13.2%) from $18.10 to $15.71. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between December 29, 2011 and January 6, 2012 when shares rose for six-straight days, rising 8.9% (+$1.25) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between November 11, 2011 and November 25, 2011 when shares fell for 10-straight days, falling 19.7% (-$3.31) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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To contact the reporter on this story: Derek Hoffman at

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Damien Hoffman at