Assured Guaranty Earnings Preview: Can This Streak Continue?

Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) will report earnings after markets close on Thursday, May 9th. Assured Guaranty Ltd. provides financial guaranty insurance and reinsurance, as well as mortgage guaranty coverage. The Company’s products include guaranties for municipal finance, structured finance, and corporate bonds.

Here is your Cheat Sheet to Assured Guaranty Earnings:

Earnings Expectations: Analysts expect earnings of $0.68 per share on revenues of $213.80 million. Currently, the company’s P/E ratio stands at 36.58.

Analyst Trends:

Analysts have a more positive outlook for the company’s next-quarter performance. Over the past three months, the average estimate for next quarter’s earnings has risen from a profit of $0.66 to a profit $0.68. For the current year, the average estimate is a profit of $2.63, which is worse than the estimate ninety days ago.

Earnings Trends:

Here’s how Assured Guaranty has been performing on an annual basis:

Fiscal Year 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Revenue ($) in millions 553.19 917.16 1,313 1,819 973.00
Diluted EPS ($) 0.77 0.66 2.56 4.16 0.57

Next, our CHEAT SHEET investing framework asks us to drill down to the recent quarterly data:

Quarter Dec. 31, 2011 Mar. 31, 2012 Jun. 30, 2012 Sep. 30, 2012 Dec. 31, 2012
Revenue ($) in millions 79.00 -357.41 759.50 342.00 229.00
Diluted EPS ($) -0.4603 -2.65 2.01 0.73 0.3797

Past Performance:
Assured Guaranty has beat analyst estimates 4 times in the past four quarters. Shareholders could expect a boost if the company beats estimates.

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(Company fundamentals provided by Xignite Financials. Email any earnings discrepancies to earnings [at]