BMC Software Inc. Second Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) component BMC Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:BMC) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, October 26, 2011. BMC Software is a software vendor offering an extensive portfolio of software solutions, including mainframe, distributed and virtualized systems, applications, databases, and IT process management functions.

BMC Software, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for net income of 71 cents per share, no change from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from 70 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up. It has been unchanged at 71 cents during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting profit of $2.78 per share, a rise of 29.3% from last year.

Last quarter, the company came in at net income of 60 cents per share against a mean estimate of profit of 57 cents per share, beating estimates after missing them in the previous quarter. In the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, it missed forecasts by 11 cents.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a rise of 7.6% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $540.4 million.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock with seven analysts rating it as a buy, one rating it as a sell and two rating it as a hold. Over the past 90 days, the average rating for the stock has moved up from hold to moderate buy.

A Look Back: In the first quarter, profit rose 3.1% to $95.7 million (53 cents a share) from $92.8 million (50 cents a share) the year earlier, exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue rose 9% to $502.4 million from $460.9 million.

Key Stats:

Revenue has risen the past four quarters. Revenue rose 14.4% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year from the year earlier, climbed 6.3% in the third quarter of the last fiscal year from the year-ago quarter and 8.8% in the second quarter of the last fiscal year.

The company has now been profitable for the last eight quarters, and for the last four, profit has risen year over year by an average of 11.2%. The quarter with the biggest boost was the second quarter of the last fiscal year, which saw a 39.9% surge.

Competitors to Watch: Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ:ORCL), Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), Red Hat, Inc. (NYSE:RHT), CA, Inc. (NASDAQ:CA), Novell, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOVL), Intl. Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM), Quest Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:QSFT), Compuware Corporation (NASDAQ:CPWR), SAP AG (NYSE:SAP), and Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ).

Stock Price Performance: During July 27, 2011 to October 20, 2011, the stock price had fallen $11.17 (-22.8%) from $48.89 to $37.72. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between March 28, 2011 and April 6, 2011 when shares rose for eight-straight days, rising 4.1% (+$2.02) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between July 22, 2011 and August 2, 2011 when shares fell for eight-straight days, falling 20.1% (-$10.51) over that span. Shares are down $9.42 (-20%) year to date.

(Source: Xignite Financials)

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