I often bemoan how so many of the rules those of us in the market pre 2009 had learned, have become useless in the new paradigm Fed supported era. One of the most flagrant is the concept that healthy moves up should be supported by volume expansion – frankly that is a bedrock concept in the technical analysis community. This rule has been obliterated during the past few years. Ritholtz over at the Big Picture flagged this amazing graph via Bloomberg that cross references the advance in the S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) with volume. As they say a picture says a thousand words…. volumes have fallen by some 40% in stair step fashion since the market bottom in spring 2009, yet the markets go up almost non stop. Remarkable.
If current trends persist I assume when the S&P (NYSE:SPY) hits 2500, there will be 100 shares trading a day?
- The CHART OF THE DAY compares the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (NYSE:SPY) with daily share trading in exchange-listed companies, as compiled by Bloomberg, during the past two years. The latter is represented by a 200-day moving average, which smoothes out day- to-day swings in buying and selling.
This is a guest post written by Trader Mark who runs the blog Fund My Mutual Fund.