Dollar Tree Stores Inc. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, February 22, 2012. Dollar Tree operates discount variety stores in the United States. Its stores offer merchandise at the fixed price of $1.00. The company operates stores under the names of Dollar Tree, Deal$, and Dollar Bills.

Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average analyst estimate is for profit of $1.58 per share, a rise of 22.5% from the company’s actual earnings for the year-ago quarter. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from $1.55. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up. It has been unchanged at $1.58 during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 24.5% versus last year to $4.02.

Past Earnings Performance: The company has beaten estimates the last four quarters and is coming off a quarter where it topped forecasts by 4 cents, reporting net income of 87 cents per share against a mean estimate of profit of 83 cents per share.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: On average, analysts predict $1.93 billion in revenue this quarter, a rise of 11.6% from the year-ago quarter. Analysts are forecasting total revenue of $6.61 billion for the year, a rise of 12.4% from last year’s revenue of $5.88 billion.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are high on the stock, with 12 analysts rating it as a buy, none rating it as a sell and seven rating it as a hold.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit rose 12.1% to $104.5 million (87 cents a share) from $93.2 million (73 cents a share) the year earlier, exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue rose 11.9% to $1.6 billion from $1.43 billion.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 12.2%, with the biggest boost coming in the first quarter when revenue rose 14.3% from the year earlier quarter.

The company has seen net income rise in three straight quarters. Net income rose 21.7% in the second quarter and 58.8% in the first quarter.

Stock Price Performance: Between November 18, 2011 and February 16, 2012, the stock price rose $11.80 (15.5%), from $75.96 to $87.76. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between September 9, 2011 and September 19, 2011, when shares rose for seven straight days, increasing 8.5% (+$5.98) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between July 7, 2011 and July 18, 2011 when shares fell for eight straight days, dropping 3.8% (-$2.66) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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To contact the reporter on this story: Derek Hoffman at

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Damien Hoffman at