Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. First Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. (NASDAQ:GMCR) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, February 1, 2012. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters operates in the specialty coffee industry in the United States and internationally. It sells approximately 200 whole bean and ground coffee selections, cocoa, teas, and coffees.

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for net income of 36 cents per share, a rise of twofold from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. The average estimate is the same as three months ago. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up. It has dropped from 37 cents during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting profit of $2.56 per share, a rise of 56.1% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: Last quarter, the company missed estimates by one cent, coming in at net income of 47 cents per share versus a mean estimate of profit of 48 cents per share. In the third quarter of the last fiscal year, the company beat estimates by 13 cents.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a rise of 84.3% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $1.06 billion.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock with nine analysts rating it as a buy, one rating it as a sell and two rating it as a hold.

A Look Back: In the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, profit rose more than threefold to $75.4 million (48 cents a share) from $23.8 million (18 cents a share) the year earlier, but fell short analyst expectations. Revenue rose 91.9% to $711.9 million from $371 million.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 96.5%, with the biggest boost coming in the third quarter of the last fiscal year when revenue rose more than twofold from the year earlier quarter.

The company has seen net income rise in three straight quarters. Net income rose more than threefold in the third quarter of the last fiscal year and more than twofold in the second quarter of the last fiscal year.

Competitors to Watch: Farmer Brothers Co. (NASDAQ:FARM), Peet’s Coffee & Tea, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEET), Coffee Holding Co., Inc. (NASDAQ:JVA), Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX), The J.M. Smucker Company (NYSE:SJM), Sara Lee Corp. (NYSE:SLE), and Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE:KFT).

Stock Price Performance: During October 28, 2011 to January 26, 2012, the stock price had fallen $21.65 (-30.5%) from $70.99 to $49.34. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between June 29, 2011 and July 8, 2011 when shares rose for seven-straight days, rising 8.5% (+$7.52) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between May 26, 2011 and June 8, 2011 when shares fell for nine-straight days, falling 8.5% (-$7.02) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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