Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. (NASDAQ:GMCR) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, November 9, 2011. Green Mountain Coffee Roasters operates in the specialty coffee industry in the United States and internationally. It sells approximately 200 whole bean and ground coffee selections, cocoa, teas, and coffees.

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 48 cents per share, a rise of more than twofold from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. The average estimate is the same as three months ago. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate was unchanged. It also has not changed during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 147.8% versus last year to $1.66.

Past Earnings Performance: The company has beaten estimates the last four quarters and is coming off a quarter where it topped forecasts by 13 cents, reporting net income of 49 cents per share against a mean estimate of profit of 36 cents per share.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: On average, analysts predict $760.5 million in revenue this quarter, a rise of more than twofold from the year ago quarter. Analysts are forecasting total revenue of $2.7 billion for the year, a rise of 98.5% from last year’s revenue of $1.36 billion.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock with 10 analysts rating it as a buy, one rating it as a sell and one rating it as a hold.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit rose more than threefold to $56.3 million (37 cents a share) from $18.6 million (13 cents a share) the year earlier, exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue rose more than twofold to $717.2 million from $311.5 million.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 90.3%, with the biggest boost coming in the most recent quarter when revenue rose more than twofold from the year earlier quarter.

The company has now been profitable for the last eight quarters, and for the last four, profit has risen year over year by an average of 87.9%. The quarter with the biggest boost was the most recent quarter, which saw a more than threefold surge.

Competitors to Watch: Farmer Brothers Co. (NASDAQ:FARM), Peet’s Coffee & Tea, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEET), Coffee Holding Co., Inc. (NASDAQ:JVA), Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX), The J.M. Smucker Company (NYSE:SJM), Sara Lee Corp. (NYSE:SLE), Dunkin Brands (NASDAQ:DNKN) and Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE:KFT).

Stock Price Performance: During September 8, 2011 to November 3, 2011, the stock price had fallen $41.67 (-38.4%) from $108.57 to $66.90. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between June 29, 2011 and July 8, 2011 when shares rose for seven-straight days, rising 8.5% (+$7.52) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between May 26, 2011 and June 8, 2011 when shares fell for nine-straight days, falling 8.5% (-$7.02) over that span. Shares are up $34.04 (+103.6%) year to date.

(Source: Xignite Financials)

Investing Insights: Here’s Why Chipotle’s Stock Keeps Winning.