Janus Capital Group Inc. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) component Janus Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:JNS) will unveil its latest earnings on Thursday, January 26, 2012. Janus Capital Group offers investment management, administration, distribution and related services to individual and institutional investors.

Janus Capital Group, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet.

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 15 cents per share, a decline of 37.5% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from 14 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up. It has been unchanged at 15 cents during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting net income of 75 cents per share, a decline of 1.3% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: The company fell short of estimates last quarter after being in line with forecasts the quarter prior. In the third quarter, it reported profit of 15 cents per share versus a mean estimate of 17 cents. Two quarters ago, it reported net income of 23 cents per share.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a decline of 23.3% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $211.6 million.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on Janus Capital Group as five analysts rate it as a buy, three rate it as a sell and seven rate it as a hold.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit fell 15.7% to $27.4 million (15 cents a share) from $32.5 million (18 cents a share) the year earlier, missing analyst expectations. Revenue fell 12.3% to $214.9 million from $245 million.

Key Stats:

A year-over-year revenue decrease in the third quarter snapped a streak of three consecutive quarters of revenue increases. Revenue rose 4%in the second quarter, 3.7% in the first quarter and 17.7% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year.

The decrease in profit in the third quarter broke a streak of three consecutive quarters of year-over-year profit increases. Net income rose 38.7% in the second quarter, 21.1% in the first quarter and 78.1% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year.

Competitors to Watch: Waddell & Reed Financial, Inc. (NYSE:WDR), T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TROW), Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. (NASDAQ:VRTS), U.S. Global Investors, Inc. (NASDAQ:GROW), Cohen & Steers, Inc. (NYSE:CNS), Franklin Resources, Inc. (NYSE:BEN), Federated Investors, Inc. (NYSE:FII), Calamos Asset Management, Inc (NASDAQ:CLMS), Invesco Ltd. (NYSE:IVZ), and Eaton Vance Corp. (NYSE:EV).

Stock Price Performance: During December 20, 2011 to January 20, 2012, the stock price had risen $1.50 (25.4%) from $5.90 to $7.40. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between December 19, 2011 and December 23, 2011 when shares rose for five-straight days, rising 8.8% (+51 cents) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between September 15, 2011 and September 22, 2011 when shares fell for six-straight days, falling 15% (-$1.05) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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