Mosaic’s Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) component Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) will unveil its latest earnings on Tuesday, July 17, 2012. The Mosaic Company is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients for the global agriculture industry.

Mosaic Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average analyst estimate is for profit of $1.15 per share, a decline of 20.7% from the company’s actual earnings for the year-ago quarter. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from $1.13. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up. It has dropped from $1.16 during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 2.5% compared to last year’s $4.45.

Past Earnings Performance: The company fell short of estimates last quarter after topping forecasts the quarter prior. In the third quarter, it reported net income of 72 cents per share against a mean estimate of 76 cents. Two quarters ago, it beat expectations by 10 cents with profit of $1.40.

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A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit fell 49.6% to $273.3 million (64 cents a share) from $542.1 million ($1.21 a share) the year earlier, missing analyst expectations. Revenue fell 1.1% to $2.19 billion from $2.21 billion.

Balance Sheet Analysis: The company’s current ratio of assets to liabilities came in at 3.67 last quarter. Having a ratio above 2:1 is usually considered a good indicator of a company’s liquidity and ability to meet creditor demands.

Analyst Ratings: With 12 analysts rating the stock a buy, none rating it a sell and four rating the stock a hold, there are indications of a bullish stance by analysts.

Key Stats:

On the top line, the company is looking to get back on the right track after last quarter’s drop snapped a string of revenue increases. Revenue rose 53.8% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, 40.9% in the first quarter and 12.7%in the second quarter before dropping in the third quarter.

An income boost this time around would be welcome news after profit declines in the past two quarters. Net income dropped 39.2% in the second quarter and then again in the third quarter.

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(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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