Stifel Financial Corp. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Stifel Financial Corp. (NYSE:SF) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, February 15, 2012. Stifel Financial, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, is primarily engaged in financial services such as retail brokerage, securities trading, investment banking, investment advisory, retail, and consumer and commercial banking.

Stifel Financial Corp. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average analyst estimate is for profit of 43 cents per share, a decline of 41.9% from the company’s actual earnings for the year-ago quarter. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from 48 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down. It also has dropped from 44 cents during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting net income of $1.80 per share, a decline of 16.7% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: For the past three quarters, the company’s quarterly results have come in below analyst’s expectations. Last quarter, the company reported profit of 35 cents per share versus a mean estimate of net income of 41 cents per share.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts predict a decline of 13.4% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $347.6 million.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts seem relatively indifferent about Stifel with four of seven analysts surveyed maintaining a hold rating.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, the company swung to a profit of $22.3 million (35 cents a share) from a loss of $84.3 million ($1.65) a year earlier, but missed analyst estimates. Revenue fell 1% to $340.5 million from $344.1 million.

Key Stats:

A year-over-year revenue decrease in the third quarter followed a streak of three consecutive quarters of revenue increases. Revenue rose 10.6%in the second quarter, 18.6% in the first quarter and 25.7% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year.

Stock Price Performance: Between December 12, 2011 and February 9, 2012, the stock price had risen $6.92 (22.8%), from $30.35 to $37.27. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between February 10, 2011 and February 18, 2011, when shares rose for seven straight days, increasing 12.6% (+$5.52) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between April 26, 2011 and May 11, 2011 when shares fell for 12 straight days, dropping 10.6% (-$4.92) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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