The Mosaic Company Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) will unveil its latest earnings on Monday, July 18, 2011. The Mosaic Co. is a producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients for the global agriculture industry.

The Mosaic Company Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for net income of $1.38 per share, a rise of 55.1% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from $1.34. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up, but has dropped from $1.39 during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting profit of $4.29 per share, a rise of more than twofold from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: The company is looking to make a streak of three quarters of beating estimates. Last quarter, it beat expectations by reporting net income of $1.21 per share, and the previous quarter, it had profit of $1.02.

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Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock with 11 analysts rating it as a buy, none rating it as a sell and eight rating it as a hold.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 37.8%, with the biggest boost coming in the second quarter when revenue rose 56.4% from the year earlier quarter.

The company has now seen net income rise in three straight quarters. In the third quarter, net income rose more than twofold while it rose 851.4% in the second quarter and more than twofold in the first quarter.

The company boosted its gross margin by 11 percentage points in the in the third quarter. Revenue rose 27.9% while cost of sales rose 8.4% to $1.36 billion from a year earlier.

Competitors to Watch: Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (NYSE:POT), Agrium Inc. (NYSE:AGU), CF Industries Hldgs., Inc. (NYSE:CF), Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE:IPI) and Converted Organics Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN).

Stock Price Performance: During April 14, 2011 to July 12, 2011, the stock price had fallen $9.12 (-12.1%) from $75.44 to $66.32. Shares have been on an upward streak of late, closing up every day between July 8, 2011 and July 12, 2011. It saw one of its worst periods between October 4, 2010, and October 12, 2010, when shares fell for seven-straight days, falling 13.7% (-$9.35) over that span. Shares are down $9.94 (-13%) year to date.

(Source: Xignite Financials)

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