Tyco International Ltd. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) component Tyco International Ltd. (NYSE:TYC) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, November 16, 2011. Tyco International provides security products and services, fire protection and detection products and services, valves and controls and other industrial products.

Tyco International Ltd. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 86 cents per share, a rise of 16.2% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from 87 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down. It has been unchanged at 86 cents during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 18.7% versus last year to $3.18.

Past Earnings Performance: Last quarter, the company beat estimates by 13 cents, coming in at net income of 85 cents a share versus the estimate of profit of 72 cents a share. It marked the fourth straight quarter of beating estimates.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: On average, analysts predict $4.51 billion in revenue this quarter, a rise of 0.4% from the year ago quarter. Analysts are forecasting total revenue of $17.14 billion for the year, a rise of 0.7% from last year’s revenue of $17.02 billion.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock with 10 analysts rating it as a buy, none rating it as a sell and three rating it as a hold.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit rose 41.3% to $359 million (76 cents a share) from $254 million (51 cents a share) the year earlier, exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue rose 0.4% to $4.29 billion from $4.27 billion.

Key Stats:

The company has seen net income rise in three straight quarters. Net income rose 1.6% in the second quarter and more than twofold in the first quarter.

Over the last four quarters, revenue has increased 0.2% on average year over year. The biggest increase came in the first quarter, when revenue rose 3.1% from the year earlier quarter.

Competitors to Watch: Tyco International Ltd (LHN1), Honeywell Intl. Inc. (NYSE:HON), 3M Company (NYSE:MMM), General Electric Company (NYSE:GE), China Security & Surveillance Tech. Inc. (NYSE:CSR), Checkpoint Systems, Inc. (NYSE:CKP), Magal Security Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ:MAGS), Mace Security Intl., Inc. (MACE), Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT), and Napco Security Systems (NASDAQ:NSSC).

Stock Price Performance: During August 17, 2011 to November 10, 2011, the stock price had risen $3.19 (7.7%) from $41.40 to $44.59. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between June 24, 2011 and July 7, 2011 when shares rose for nine-straight days, rising 7.5% (+$3.45) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between July 7, 2011 and July 18, 2011 when shares fell for eight-straight days, falling 6.5% (-$3.22) over that span. Shares are up $4 (+9.9%) year to date.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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