Ventas Inc. Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) component Ventas, Inc. (NYSE:VTR) will unveil its latest earnings on Friday, February 17, 2012. Ventas is a real estate investment trust, with a portfolio of seniors housing and healthcare properties.

Ventas, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 89 cents per share, a rise of 15.6% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. The average estimate is the same as three months ago. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate was unchanged. It also has not changed during the last month. For the year, analysts are projecting net income of $3.27 per share, a rise of 13.5% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: The company has beaten estimates the last four quarters and is coming off a quarter where it topped forecasts by 7 cents, reporting profit of 88 cents per share against a mean estimate of net income of 81 cents per share.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts predict a rise of more than twofold in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $565.9 million.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts seem relatively indifferent about Ventas with eight of 15 analysts surveyed maintaining a hold rating.

A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit rose 77.7% to $102.9 million (35 cents a share) from $57.9 million (37 cents a share) the year earlier, exceeding analyst expectations. Revenue rose more than twofold to $566.1 million from $264.6 million.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 46.3%, with the biggest boost coming in the most recent quarter when revenue rose more than twofold from the year earlier quarter.

The profit increase in the third quarter broke a two-quarter streak of year-over-year profit decreases. The figure dropped 66.1% in the second quarter and 6.9% in the first quarter.

Stock Price Performance: Between December 14, 2011 and February 13, 2012, the stock price had risen $7.05 (13.6%), from $51.68 to $58.73. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between January 12, 2012 and January 26, 2012, when shares rose for 10 straight days, increasing 8.4% (+$4.58) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between July 29, 2011 and August 8, 2011 when shares fell for seven straight days, dropping 18.8% (-$9.97) over that span.

(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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To contact the reporter on this story: Derek Hoffman at

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