Vitamin Shoppe Second Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

Vitamin Shoppe (NASDAQ:VSI) will unveil its latest earnings on Thursday, July 28, 2011. Vitamin Shoppe, Inc. is a retailer and direct marketer of vitamins, minerals, herbs, supplements, sports nutrition and other health and wellness products.

Vitamin Shoppe Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 38 cents per share, a rise of 31% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from 35 cents. For the year, analysts are projecting net income of $1.50 per share, a rise of 41.5% from last year.

Past Earnings Performance: The company topped forecasts last quarter after being in line with estimates the quarter prior. In the first quarter, it reported profit of 49 cents per share versus a mean estimate of 40 cents. Two quarters ago, it reported net income of 21 cents per share.

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Wall St. Revenue Expectations: On average, analysts predict $211.4 million in revenue this quarter, a rise of 10% from the year ago quarter. Analysts are forecasting total revenue of $843.7 million for the year, a rise of 12.3% from last year’s revenue of $751.5 million.

Analyst Ratings: Analysts are bullish on this stock with seven analysts rating it as a buy, none rating it as a sell and one rating it as a hold.

Key Stats:

The company has enjoyed double-digit year-over-year percentage revenue growth for the past four quarters. Over that span, the company has averaged growth of 11.9%, with the biggest boost coming in the most recent quarter when revenue rose 13.2% from the year earlier quarter.

The company has now seen net income rise in three straight quarters. In the first quarter, net income rose 32.8% while it rose more than threefold in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year and more than threefold in the third quarter of the last fiscal year.

Competitors to Watch: Vitacost.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:VITC), CVS (NYSE:CVS), Target (NYSE:TGT), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), drugstore.com, inc. (NASDAQ:DSCM), China Nepstar Chain Drugstore Ltd. (NYSE:NPD), Graymark Healthcare Inc (NASDAQ:GRMH), Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE:RAD), PetMed Express, Inc. (NASDAQ:PETS), Sally Beauty Hldgs., Inc. (NYSE:SBH), Walgreen Company (NYSE:WAG), and Perfumania Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:PERF).

Stock Price Performance: During May 25, 2011 to July 22, 2011, the stock price had risen $7.93 (20.7%) from $38.35 to $46.28. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between December 1, 2010 and December 10, 2010 when shares rose for eight-straight days, rising 15.2% (+$4.45) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between March 9, 2011 and March 18, 2011 when shares fell for eight-straight days, falling 4.9% (-$1.66) over that span. Shares are up $12.64 (+37.6%) year to date.

(Source: Xignite Financials)

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