Analyst: Here’s How Apple Will Rise

Citigroup restarted coverage of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) on Monday with a buy rating and a price target of $675, even as the firm’s analyst Glen Yeung also pointed out what he said were potential weaknesses of the stock that have come into focus recently.

What Does Yeung Have to Say About Apple’s Shares?

According to the analyst, post a drop in price starting on September 21, Apple shares “have corrected consistent with the average correction in its own history, with companies that have achieved 4 percent of the [market weighting in the] S&P500, and with companies that have shown similar deceleration.”

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He added that historically, such corrections are followed by a 20 percent to 50 percent appreciation in the next 12 months. However, the firm said that its price target has been set at 11 percent below the average Wall Street figure to reflect “our perception that risks for Apple are increasingly coming into focus.”

CHEAT SHEET Analysis: Trends Support the Industry in which Apple Operates

According to Citi, Apple’s share of the smartphone market faces competition from low-end versions and “deceleration for iPhone sales is a virtual certainty in the next 6 to 18 months.”

While Apple continues to focus on improving the iPhone, alternatives that are not necessarily as feature-rich but can serve growing markets with their low price points are mushrooming. What does that mean for Apple?

Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) and Samsung, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) headline these new competitors and bring with them new and different business models,” Yeung wrote. “Now armed with increasingly competitive hardware, these new competitors raise the risk of share loss, possibly tempering earnings growth.”

On the bright side according to the analyst, the market has been conservative in its predictions of the gains from tablets, where Apple’s iPad continues to be fairly dominant.

How Will This Affect Apple’s Stock?

The widely circulated report that highlighted another buy recommendation had a positive effect on Apple’s stock Monday as it closed up 3.15 percent at $589.53 even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed lower by 42 poitns. While details in the report point at possible forthcoming concerns, the largely positive prediction for the next few months will give investors reasons to be optimistic.

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