Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau Engagement Odds, Revealed

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are sending the media into a frenzy with their romance. They were first spotted together in Montreal this past summer, both freshly navigating worlds beyond their former relationships. Now that Perry and Trudeau appear to have made their relationship official, fans are curious as to whether Trudeau will eventually get down on one knee. So, are Perry and Trudeau headed for an engagement in the future? Here are the odds.

Will Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau get engaged in 2025?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are officially dating, marking one of 2025’s most surprising celebrity romances. The pop superstar and the former Canadian prime minister confirmed their relationship after being photographed holding hands in Paris during Perry’s 41st birthday celebration in October 2025. The two first sparked dating rumors over the summer when they were spotted together in Montreal, according to Elle.

Perry fans noticed how quickly she appeared to move on from Orlando Bloom. As for Trudeau, he and his now-ex, Sophie Grégoire, separated in 2023 following 18 years of marriage.

So, are Perry and Trudeau in their romance for the long haul? Sportsbook Review reports that Kalshi, a prediction trading market, has a market for whether the couple will get engaged before Jan. 1, 2026. At the time of publishing, the market had $938 in volume. According to market users, Perry and Trudeau only have a 6% chance of getting engaged by the end of 2025. This means there’s a 94% chance that Trudeau won’t get down on one knee for his new girlfriend.

When did Katy Perry get engaged to Orlando Bloom?

Well before Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau’s relationship, Perry was engaged to actor Orlando Bloom. Perry and Bloom’s romance took a serious turn on Valentine’s Day 2019, when Bloom proposed in what Perry later described as a dramatic and memorable moment. The engagement announcement came via Instagram, where Perry shared a close-up of her striking flower-shaped ruby-and-diamond ring captioned “Full bloom.” Bloom accompanied the same image with the caption “Lifetimes,” according to Elle.

Perry later detailed how Bloom’s proposal involved dinner, a surprise helicopter ride, champagne mishaps, and a rooftop landing, ending with their family and friends ready to celebrate. “We went to dinner … I thought we were going to see some art … but we pulled up to a helicopter,” Perry said on Jimmy Kimmel Live!, according to Elle.

The two first met at a party following the Golden Globes in 2016, where Perry told the story of Bloom stealing an In-N-Out Burger off her table. She later described the anecdote as the moment she thought, “Oh, you’re so hot. Fine, take it,” according to The Independent. They dated publicly starting in 2016. After a brief split in 2017, they reunited in 2018. Their engagement in 2019 followed years of on-and-off romance.

In mid-2025, after nearly nine years together, Perry and Bloom ended their engagement and confirmed their split.

Justin Trudeau has allegedly made a ‘real effort’ to show his commitment

An insider told People that Katy Perry is extremely “flattered” by the effort that Justin Trudeau is putting into the romance, especially considering how she’s on her “Lifetimes World Tour” until the end of 2025.

“She’s focused on her tour, and Justin has made a real effort to meet her where she is — literally,” the source alleged. “She’s flattered. He’s shown that he’s committed and really cares about spending time with her. It’s clear that he values the connection, and so does Katy. She’s in a great place.”

The source added that Perry “never” saw her relationship with Trudeau coming, but “she’s really enjoying this surprising life twist.”

“They both have busy schedules but make time for each other and have a really strong connection,” another source noted. “Katy didn’t expect to fall for somebody so soon, but Justin checks all the boxes. He has a great sense of humor; he’s charming and treats her with respect.”